Arbeitspapier

Global variance term premia and intermediary risk appetite

Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected variances and term premia. Empirically, we document a strong global factor structure in variance term premia across the U.S., U.K., Europe, and Japan. We further show that variance term premia are negatively correlated with the risk appetite of hedge funds, broker-dealers, and mutual funds. Our results support the hypothesis that financial intermediaries are marginal investors in the variance swap market.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 789

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Financial Econometrics
Subject
variance swap
variance risk premium
term structure
empirical asset pricing
volatility
financial intermediaries

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Van Tassel, Peter
Vogt, Erik
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Van Tassel, Peter
  • Vogt, Erik
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2016

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