Artikel

Temporary overpessimism: Job loss expectations following a large negative employment shock

Job loss expectations were widespread amongst workers in East Germany following reunification with West Germany. Though experiencing a large negative employment shock, East German workers were nevertheless overpessimistic immediately after reunification with respect to their job loss risk. Over time, job loss expectations fell and converged to West German levels, which was driven by a stabilizing economic environment and by an adaptation of the interpretation of economic signals with workers learning to distinguish individual risk from firm‐level risk. In fact, conditional on actual job loss risk, East German workers quickly caught up to West Germans regarding the share of correctly predicted job losses.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Economics of Transition and Institutional Change ; ISSN: 2577-6983 ; Volume: 30 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 621-661 ; Hoboken, NJ: Wiley

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
expectations
job loss
transition economies

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Emmler, Julian
Fitzenberger, Bernd
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Wiley
(wo)
Hoboken, NJ
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.1111/ecot.12310
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Emmler, Julian
  • Fitzenberger, Bernd
  • Wiley

Entstanden

  • 2021

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