Arbeitspapier

The Comovement between Real Activity and Prices in the G7

In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using vector autoregressive systems and frequency-domain filters. We find several patterns that are robust across countries and time periods. Typically, the correlation coefficients at long-run horizons are significantly negative and the correlation coefficients at short-run horizons are substantially higher. Additionally, there is evidence of positive correlation at short-run forecast horizons for some countries.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 02-092/2

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Thema
Comovement
vector autoregressive models.
Preisniveau
Bruttoinlandsprodukt
Konjunktur
Schätzung
G8-Staaten

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
den Haan, Wouter J.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • den Haan, Wouter J.
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2002

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