Arbeitspapier

Trade with Endogenous Transportation Costs: The Value of LNG Exports

This paper investigates the economic value of trade when prices of transportation services are endogenous to cross-market price spreads. This is relevant for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. LNG transportation capacity is limited in the short-run, and long lead-times are involved in extending the transportation infrastructure. We establish empirically that LNG transportation costs have been endogenous to regional gas prices spreads. As such, transportation service providers have been able to capture part of the price spread. We proceed to develop a method to value LNG exports under conditions of endogenous transportation costs and market integration. We use this method to quantify the effect of endogenous transportation costs on the value of LNG exports from the US to Japan. Our analysis shows that when transportation costs are correctly treated as endogenous, the LNG export benefit can drop by as much as 20-50% relative to the case of exogenous cost.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5222

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Renewable Resources and Conservation: Issues in International Trade
Energy: Government Policy
Thema
LNG
natural gas
export
trade policy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Oglend, Atle
Osmundsen, Petter
Kleppe, Tore Selland
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Oglend, Atle
  • Osmundsen, Petter
  • Kleppe, Tore Selland
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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