Arbeitspapier

Robust estimation of the expected inflation

Ignoring items with large price changes may enhance the informational content of a price index. As an application of the metrically trimmed mean (Kim, 1992) we suggest to discard the individual price changes that deviate the most from the median. Focusing on outliers increases the efficiency compared to always trimming equally in both tails and the implied bias problem seems small. The distribution of price changes is often skewed strongly to the right or to the left in a specific month but is much closer to symmetric for a longer period as a whole. This is also the case with Danish data analyzed in this paper. The suggested metrically trimmed mean gives a measure of expected inflation, which may help representing inflation in economic analyses.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Danmarks Nationalbank Working Papers ; No. 1

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Inflationserwartung
Robustes Verfahren
Theorie
Dänemark

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nielsen, Heino Bohn
Knudsen, Dan
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Danmarks Nationalbank
(wo)
Copenhagen
(wann)
2001

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Nielsen, Heino Bohn
  • Knudsen, Dan
  • Danmarks Nationalbank

Entstanden

  • 2001

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