Arbeitspapier

Banking panic risk and macroeconomic uncertainty

We show that systemic risk in the banking sector breeds macroeconomic uncertainty. We develop a model of a production economy with a banking sector where financial constraints of banks can lead to disastrous banking panics. We find that a higher probability of a banking panic increases uncertainty in the aggregate economy. We explore the implications of this banking panic-driven uncertainty for business cycles, asset prices and macroprudential regulation. Banking panic-driven uncertainty amplifies business cycle volatility and increases risk premia on asset prices. A countercyclical capital buffer lowers both the probability of banking panics and aggregate uncertainty.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Danmarks Nationalbank Working Papers ; No. 149

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Thema
Banking Panics
Systemic Risk
Endogenous Uncertainty
Macroprudential Policy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mikkelsen, Jakob Guldbæk
Poeschl, Johannes
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Danmarks Nationalbank
(wo)
Copenhagen
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mikkelsen, Jakob Guldbæk
  • Poeschl, Johannes
  • Danmarks Nationalbank

Entstanden

  • 2020

Ähnliche Objekte (12)