Arbeitspapier

Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches

We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 10174

Classification
Wirtschaft
Sports Economics: Other
Subject
association football
goal-scoring
red card
World Cup football matches

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cerveny, Jakub
van Ours, Jan C.
van Tuijl, Martin A.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cerveny, Jakub
  • van Ours, Jan C.
  • van Tuijl, Martin A.
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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