Artikel
Is economic uncertainty a risk factor in bank loan pricing decisions? International evidence
Uncertainty in economic environment leads economic agents to act cautiously. In this paper, we postulate that such uncertainty leads banks to charge higher interest rate on loans. Measuring aggregate country-level economic uncertainty with the World Uncertainty Index (WUI) and using a bank-level dataset from 88 countries over the period 1998-2017, we find that heightened economic uncertainty increases bank loan interest rates. Specifically, bank loan interest rates rise by 20.67 basis points with a one standard deviation increase in WUI. Our results are robust when we use alternative proxy of uncertainty, include additional controls in the model, and extend the sample size. We also observe that WUI index is better at measuring local economic uncertainty as compared to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index. Overall, this study provides evidence that bank price in economic uncertainty is an important risk while setting interest rates on bank loans.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 9 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 5 ; Pages: 1-17 ; Basel: MDPI
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Thema
-
bank loan interest rates
economic policy uncertainty
economic uncertainty
political uncertainty
world uncertainty index
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Ashraf, Badar Nadeem
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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MDPI
- (wo)
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Basel
- (wann)
-
2021
- DOI
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doi:10.3390/risks9050081
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Artikel
Beteiligte
- Ashraf, Badar Nadeem
- MDPI
Entstanden
- 2021
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