Arbeitspapier

Estimating the latent effect of unemployment benefits on unemployment duration

We estimate the effect of a shortening of unemployment benefit entitlements on unemployment duration. Previous studies on the same or related problems have not taken into account that the competing risks duration model is not identified and we shed first light on the question whether the non identification problem may preclude informative results. It turns out that the identification bounds for the parameters of interest are very wide in the absence of strong assumptions. We suggest an assumption on the dependence structure between risks which is milder than what conventional duration models assume. Under this assumption, the identification bounds are tighter and become informative for the direction of the treatment effect. We find evidence that the unemployed with higher pre-unemployment earnings are more likely to enter full-time employment and, in particular, subsidized self-employment.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 6650

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Thema
dependent censoring
partial identification
difference-in-differences
unemployment duration
unemployment benefits
Arbeitslosenversicherung
Arbeitslosigkeit
Dauer
Statistische Bestandsanalyse
Schätzung
Deutschland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Lo, Simon M. S.
Stephan, Gesine
Wilke, Ralf
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Lo, Simon M. S.
  • Stephan, Gesine
  • Wilke, Ralf
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2012

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