Arbeitspapier

Monetary policy uncertainty and firm dynamics

This paper uses a FAVAR model with external instruments to show that the policy uncertainty shocks are recessionary and are associated with an increase in the exit of firms and a decrease in entry and in the stock price with total factor productivity rising in the medium run. To explain this result, we build scale DSGE module featuring firm heterogeneity and endogenous firm entry and exit. These features are crucial in matching the empirical responses. Versions of the model with constant firms or constant firms' exit are unable to re-produce the FAVAR response of firm' entry and exit and suggest a much smaller effect of this shock on real activity.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 903

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Monetary policy uncertainty shocks
FAVAR
DSGE

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fasani, Stefano
Mumtaz, Haroon
Rossi, Lorenza
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance
(where)
London
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fasani, Stefano
  • Mumtaz, Haroon
  • Rossi, Lorenza
  • Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance

Time of origin

  • 2020

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