Arbeitspapier

The housing wealth effect: Quasi-experimental evidence

We exploit a quasi-experiment that occurred in Stockholm in 2007 to provide new evidence on the magnitude of the housing wealth e.ect. Stockholm's smaller city airport was expected to close in 2011 but its operating contract was unexpectedly renewed after political negotiation behind closed doors. We estimate an immediate shock of approximately -17% to house prices close to the airport. Using a household data set with granular geographic information on primary residence, we find an elasticity among purchasers of new cars equal to 0.5. Converting our estimate to an aggregate MPC on cars, it is however less than 0.2 cents per dollar which in turn is likely to imply an MPC less than 3 cents per dollar on all goods and services. The effect is concentrated to homeowners with a loan-to-value ratio between 0.6 and 0.8, highlighting the role of credit and mortgage markets also in normal economic times.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 361

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
Subject
House prices
housing wealth
consumption
house price elasticity
marginal propensity to consume
collateral effect

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kessel, Dany
Tyrefors Hinnerich, Björn
Vestman, Roine
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kessel, Dany
  • Tyrefors Hinnerich, Björn
  • Vestman, Roine
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2018

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