Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Arbeitspapier

Unconventional fiscal policy uses announcements of future increases in consumption taxes to generate inflation expectations and accelerate consumption expenditure. It is budget neutral and time consistent. We provide preliminary evidence for the effectiveness of such policies using changes in value-added tax (VAT) and household survey data for Poland. We find households increased their inflation expectations and willingness to purchase durables before the increase in VAT. Future research has to ensure income, wealth effects, or intratemporal substitution channels cannot explain these results and ideally exploit exogenous variation in VAT in a fixed nominal interest rate environment.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6862

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis ; Expectations; Speculations ; Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡ ; Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth ; Price Level; Inflation; Deflation ; Business Fluctuations; Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): D'Acunto, Francesco ; Hoang, Daniel ; Weber, Michael
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
• (where): Munich
• (when): 2018

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/174985
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET