Arbeitspapier

Updating Ambiguous Beliefs

We present and axiomatize several update rules for probabilities (and preferences) where there is no unique additive prior. In the context of non-additive probabilities we define and axiomatize Bayesian update rules; in the context of multiple (additive) priors we define maximum likelihood rules. It turns out that for decision makers which can be described by both theories, the two approaches coincide. Thus, we suggest a pseudo-Bastion foundation to classical statistics, which may also motivate alternative statistical inference techniques, and provide an axiomatically-based ambiguous belies update rule, which is needed for their application in many economic theory models.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 924

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gilboa, Itzhak
Schmeidler, David
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science
(wo)
Evanston, IL
(wann)
1991

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gilboa, Itzhak
  • Schmeidler, David
  • Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science

Entstanden

  • 1991

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