Arbeitspapier

Testing Market Efficiency in a Fixed Odds Betting Market

This paper tests the hypothesis of market efficiency for the fixed odds betting market of Swedish trotting head-to-head matches. The hypothesis is carried out by a Wald test within a logistic regression model. Data support rejection of semi-strong efficiency at the 5 percent level of significance, while the weak form efficiency cannot be rejected. Moreover, evaluation of the simple strategy to bet on those horses where, conditional on the estimated model, the expected profit is positive results in a profit of 7.8 percent per bet.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 12/2007

Classification
Wirtschaft
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Subject
EMH
betting
trotting
market
efficiency
logit
Wald

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jakobsson, Robin
Karlsson, Niklas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Örebro University School of Business
(where)
Örebro
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jakobsson, Robin
  • Karlsson, Niklas
  • Örebro University School of Business

Time of origin

  • 2007

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