Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, technological styles etc.) as well as the ideas of our own theory of production principles and production revolutions. The latest of production revolution is the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that in the 2030s and 2040s the sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough inmedical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single system of MANBRIC-technologies (medico-additive-nano-bio-roboto-info-cognitive technologies). The article also presents a forecast of the process of global ageing and argues why the technological breakthrough will occur in health care sector and connected spheres.

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Urheber*in: Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey

Rechte vorbehalten - Freier Zugang

ISSN
0040-1625
Umfang
Seite(n): 52-68
Sprache
Englisch
Anmerkungen
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet

Erschienen in
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115

Thema
Technik, Technologie
Naturwissenschaften, Technik, Medizin
Technikfolgenabschätzung
Medizintechnik
Nanotechnologie
technische Entwicklung
Selbststeuerung
Prognose
Biotechnik
Altern
Produktionstheorie
Kybernetik

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Grinin, Leonid
Grinin, Anton
Korotayev, Andrey
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wo)
Niederlande
(wann)
2017

DOI
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-57566-7
Rechteinformation
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Letzte Aktualisierung
21.06.2024, 16:27 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Beteiligte

  • Grinin, Leonid
  • Grinin, Anton
  • Korotayev, Andrey

Entstanden

  • 2017

Ähnliche Objekte (12)