A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems

Collection article | Sammelwerksbeitrag

The escape from the ‘Malthusian trap’ is shown to tend to generate in a rather systematic way quite serious political upheavals. Some demographic structural mechanisms that generate such upheavals have been analyzed, which has made it possible to develop a mathematical model of the respective processes. The forecast of political instability in Sub-Saharan African countries in 2015– 2050 produced on the basis of this model is presented.

Object Details

• ISBN: 978-5-7057-4223-3
• Extent: Seite(n): 201-267
• Language: Englisch
• Notes: Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: History & Mathematics: Trends and Cycles; Yearbook

Classification and Topics

• Subject: Soziologie, Anthropologie ; Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie ; Allgemeine Soziologie, Makrosoziologie, spezielle Theorien und Schulen, Entwicklung und Geschichte der Soziologie ; Bevölkerung

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Korotayev, Andrey ; Malkov, Sergey ; Grinin, Leonid
• Event: Herstellung
• (who): Grinin, Leonid ; Korotayev, Andrey
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Uchitel Publishing House
• (where): Russland, Volgograd
• (when): 2014

Further information

• URN: urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-58888-5
• Rights: GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
• Last update: 21.06.2024, 4:27 PM CEST