Arbeitspapier

Does patience pay? Empirical testing of the option to delay accepting a tender offer in the US banking sector

We examine the empirical predictions of a real option-pricing model using a large sample of data on mergers and acquisitions in the U.S. banking sector. We provide estimates for the option value that the target bank has in waiting for a higher bid instead of accepting an initial tender offer. We find empirical support for a model that estimates the value of an option to wait in accepting an initial tender offer. Market prices reflect a premium for the option to wait to accept an offer that has a mean value of almost 12.5% for a sample of 424 mergers and acquisitions between 1997 and 2005 in the U.S. banking industry. Regression analysis reveals that the option price is related to both the price to book market and the free cash flow of target banks. We conclude that it is certainly in the shareholders best interest if subsequent offers are awaited.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2006/32

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Voting; Proxy Contests; Corporate Governance
Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
Thema
Option-pricing Model
Mergers and Acquisitions
U.S. Banking Industry

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Campbell, Rachel A.
Kräussl, Roman
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2006

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-38065
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:23 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Campbell, Rachel A.
  • Kräussl, Roman
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Entstanden

  • 2006

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