Rapid productivity prediction method for frac hits affected wells based on gas reservoir numerical simulation and probability method

Abstract: As an important unconventional resource, shale gas can alleviate energy shortage, and its efficient development ensures the long-term growth of oil and gas. The prediction of production levels and estimated ultimate recovery with high accuracy is necessary for shale gas development. Conventional methods are widely applied in the oil and gas industry owing to their simplicity and effectiveness; however, none of them can accurately predict the results for frac hits affected wells. In this work, a probability method based on the numerical model of shale gas reservoir has been formed. In view of the impact of frac hits on the productivity of production wells during the development of shale gas reservoirs, an embedded discrete fractured numerical simulation method for gas reservoirs is proposed to simulate the geological engineering parameter range of wells before frac. And aiming at the established numerical model of shale gas reservoir, this method adopts the ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation automatic history matching technology to carry out the history matching process of the model. Based on the probability theory and numerical simulation results, this study analyses the influence of different distribution functions of parameters on the calculation results of reserves, and obtains the expected curve of reserves through combination calculation. Besides, the effectiveness of this method was verified by comparing with other traditional predicted method.

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Rapid productivity prediction method for frac hits affected wells based on gas reservoir numerical simulation and probability method ; volume:21 ; number:1 ; year:2023 ; extent:12
Open physics ; 21, Heft 1 (2023) (gesamt 12)

Urheber
Nie, Jie
Wang, Hao
Hao, Yuexiang

DOI
10.1515/phys-2022-0233
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023030414281658864067
Rechteinformation
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
14.08.2025, 11:03 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Beteiligte

  • Nie, Jie
  • Wang, Hao
  • Hao, Yuexiang

Ähnliche Objekte (12)