Artikel

Sudden Stops and Asset Purchase Programmes in the Euro Area

This paper analyses the incidence and severity of sudden stops in euro area countries before and after the introduction of the ECB's asset purchase programmes. We define sudden stops as abrupt declines in private net financial inflows, i.e. total flows adjusted for EU and IMF loans and changes in TARGET2 balances. We document that sudden stop were more frequent and more severe in euro area countries compared to other OECD economies over the period 1999–2020. We find that the susceptibility of euro area countries to severe sudden stops mainly reflects domestic fundamentals whereas there is no clear evidence of an adverse direct effect of being part of the euro area. Moreover, our econometric analysis suggests that the ECB asset purchase programmes have overall almost halved the risk of severe sudden stops in euro area countries. We find tentative evidence that this effect operates through confidence channels.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital ; ISSN: 2199-1235 ; Volume: 54 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 375-421

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Investment; Long-term Capital Movements
Foreign Exchange
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
Thema
Financial flows
sudden stops
monetary policy
ECB asset purchase programmes

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Fabiani, Josefina
Fidora, Michael
Setzer, Ralph
Westphal, Andreas
Zorell, Nico
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Duncker & Humblot
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.3790/ccm.54.3.375
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Fabiani, Josefina
  • Fidora, Michael
  • Setzer, Ralph
  • Westphal, Andreas
  • Zorell, Nico
  • Duncker & Humblot

Entstanden

  • 2021

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