Arbeitspapier

Carbon Taxes and the Petroleum Wealth

The aim of this paper is to examine the impacts of a global carbon tax on fossil fuel markets. In particular, the effect on the Norwegian, as well as the global, petroleum wealth is studied. Most empirical models of fossil fuel markets either use an exogenous price path, or model the supply side as being independent of future expectations. Hence, they are not able to test how the exhaustibility feature of fossil fuels affects the sharing of the tax burden between producers and consumers. We study a simple, dynamic model of a competitive fossil fuel market, and we first derive some general theoretical results regarding how a carbon tax may affect the producer and consumer prices. Then, simulations of the global oil market indicate that a fixed carbon tax of e.g. $10/barrel of oil may reduce the petroleum wealth of the average oil producer by 33-42%. The Norwegian petroleum wealth may decrease more than this, by 47-68%. The latter reduction may correspond to a yearly income loss of about 3% of Norwegian GDP. However, the figures should only be considered as very rough estimates, because of the simplistic nature of the model.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 128

Classification
Wirtschaft
Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General
Energy: General
Subject
Carbon Taxes
Exhaustible Resources
Petroleum Wealth

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Rosendahl, Knut Einar
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(where)
Oslo
(when)
1994

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Rosendahl, Knut Einar
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Time of origin

  • 1994

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