Arbeitspapier
Spatial Concentration of Military Dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa (1977-2007)
We empirically investigate the existence of spatial autocorrelation between military dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1977 through 2007. We apply a Bayesian SAR probit regression, extended to a pooled model. We find a robust and positive spatial autocorrelation coefficient, which shows a spatial concentration of military autocracies. In particular, in the aftermath of Cold War military regimes cluster in the central region. Among covariates, interestingly, foreign aid shows a positive association with military regimes during the Cold War while it turns to exhibit a negative association after 1989. With regard to other economic covariates, we find that: a) there is a negative association between GDP per capita and the existence of a military autocracy; b) a larger manufacturing sector is associated with a smaller probability of a military rule; c) a larger mining sector is associated with a higher likelihood of military rules; d) trade openness reduces the likelihood of militarization.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4802
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government
Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: Africa; Oceania
- Thema
-
military dictatorship
Sub-Saharan Africa
Bayesian SAR probit model
spatial autocorrelation
diffusion
concentration
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Caruso, Raul
Petrarca, Ilaria
Ricciuti, Roberto
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
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Munich
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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20.09.2024, 08:23 MESZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Caruso, Raul
- Petrarca, Ilaria
- Ricciuti, Roberto
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2014