Arbeitspapier

Institutions and macroeconomic performance: Central bank independence, labour market institutions and the perspectives for inflation and employment in the European Monetary Union

Starting from a Post-Keynesian model in which employment is determined by effective demand and the NAIRU is viewed as a limit to employment, enforced by monetary policy reacting upon conflict inflation, the effects of central bank independence and labour market institutions on macroeconomic performance are considered and the perspectives for employment and inflation in the European Monetary Union are discussed. Central bank independence seems to be associated with stable prices and to prevent the rate of unemployment from falling below the NAIRU. But price stability also depends on labour market institutions. Horizontally and vertically co-ordinated wage bargaining allows for a considerable reduction of the NAIRU and hence of the real costs of price stability. Therefore, the perspectives for employment and inflation in the European Monetary Union depend on the development of the degree of co-ordination of wage bargaining and on the monetary strategy chosen by the independent European Central Bank. Different scenarios derived from these determinants are finally discussed.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WSI-Diskussionspapier ; No. 95

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
Beschäftigung
Inflation
Zentralbankautonomie
Lohnverhandlungstheorie
Arbeitsmarktflexibilität
Makroökonomik
Postkeynesianismus
Natürliche Arbeitslosigkeit
Phillips-Kurve
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hein, Eckhard
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliches Institut (WSI)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2001

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hein, Eckhard
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliches Institut (WSI)

Time of origin

  • 2001

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