Forschungsbericht | Research report

Building long-term scenarios for development: The methodological state of the art with an application to foreign direct investment in Africa

"This study provides an introduction to scenario analysis as a tool for development policy planning. The study is divided into three parts. The first part of the study outlines the central characteristics of scenario analysis methods, distinguishes scenario analysis from other research approaches, and presents a general guide for building scenarios. Illustrations of applications of scenario analysis methods in fields related to global development complement the methodological discussions in this part of the study. A second part of the study develops an original illustration of how scenario methods can be applied to examine development policy issues byfocusing on the question of how foreign direct investment flows could change the African development landscape toward the year 2030. This chapter culminates with the presentation of four fictional narratives charting how investment patterns and development outcomes could unfoldover the next two decades.The third and final chapter of the study outlines several considerations that policymakers potentially interested in using scenario methods as a supplement to their existing planning tools should make in evaluating whether the application of these methods within their organizations is desirable." (excerpt)

Building long-term scenarios for development: The methodological state of the art with an application to foreign direct investment in Africa

Urheber*in: Lundsgaarde, Erik

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Alternative title
Langfristige Entwicklungsszenarien: State of the Art der Methodologie und eine Anwendung auf ausländische Direktinvestitionen in Afrika
ISBN
978-3-88985-376-9
Extent
Seite(n): 122
Language
Englisch
Notes
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion

Bibliographic citation
DIE Studies (40)

Subject
Wirtschaft
Soziologie, Anthropologie
Entwicklungsländersoziologie, Entwicklungssoziologie
Volkswirtschaftstheorie
Entwicklungsplanung
Entwicklungspolitik
Szenario
Direktinvestition
Afrika
Auslandsinvestition
deskriptive Studie
anwendungsorientiert

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lundsgaarde, Erik
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik gGmbH
(where)
Deutschland, Bonn
(when)
2008

URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-193670
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:26 PM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Forschungsbericht

Associated

  • Lundsgaarde, Erik
  • Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik gGmbH

Time of origin

  • 2008

Other Objects (12)