Arbeitspapier

Marginal employment: Stepping stone or dead end? Evaluating the German experience

Marginal Employment, i.e. employment at low working hours and earnings not covered by social security, has been gaining importance in the German economy over the past decade. Using a large newly available panel data set and statistical matching techniques, we analyse the effects of marginal employment on future individual outcome variables such as unemployment, regular employment and earnings. In addition to average treatment effects, we calculate dynamic and cumulative treatment effects accounting for total time spent in various labor market states and related earnings over a period of three years. We find that marginal employment (i) does not affect time spent in regular employment within a three-years' observation period, (ii) reduces future unemployment, (iii) slightly increases cumulated future earnings, on average, and (iv) is associated with a small negative cumulative earnings effect for older workers in west Germany.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 744

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Labor Demand
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
Thema
Marginal employment
social security contributions
wage subsidies
labour market policy
evaluation of treatment effects
Arbeitsmarktpolitik
Ungeschützte Beschäftigung
Sozialversicherungsbeitrag
Lohnsubvention
Wirtschaftspolitische Wirkungsanalyse
Beschäftigungseffekt
Deutschland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Freier, Ronny
Steiner, Viktor
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Freier, Ronny
  • Steiner, Viktor
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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