Arbeitspapier

Fiscal Spending Multiplier Calculations based on Input-Output Tables – with an Application to EU Members

Fiscal spending multiplier calculations have been revived in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Much of the current literature is based on VAR estimation methods and DSGE models. The aim of this paper is not a further deepening of this literature but rather to implement a calculation method of multipliers which is suitable for open economies like EU member states. To this end, Input-Output tables are used as by this means the import intake of domestic demand components can be isolated in order to get an appropriate base for the calculation of the relevant import quotas. The difference of this method is substantial - on average the calculated multipliers are 15% higher than the conventional GDP fiscal spending multiplier for EU members. Multipliers for specific spending categories are comparably high, ranging between 1.4 and 1.8 for many members of the EU. GDP drops due to budget consolidation might therefore be substantial if monetary policy is not able to react in an expansionary manner.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IWH Discussion Papers ; No. 1/2011

Classification
Wirtschaft
History of Economic Thought: Macroeconomics
Input-Output Models
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Fiscal Policy
Subject
Fiscal spending multiplier calculation
Input-Output calculus
incomeexpenditure model
European Union
stimulus
consolidation
Fiskalpolitischer Ausgabenmultiplikator
Multiplikator
Fiskalpolitik
Input-Output-Rechnung
Europäische Union
Konjunkturpolitik
Konsolidierung

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pusch, Toralf
Rannenberg, Ansgar
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)
(where)
Halle (Saale)
(when)
2011

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201103183354
Last update
12.04.2002, 12:23 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pusch, Toralf
  • Rannenberg, Ansgar
  • Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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