Arbeitspapier

Multivariate return decomposition: Theory and implications

In this paper, we propose a model based on multivariate decomposition of multiplicative - absolute values and signs - components of several returns. In the m-variate case, the marginals for the m absolute values and the binary marginals for the m directions are linked through a 2m-dimensional copula. The approach is detailed in the case of a bivariate decomposition. We outline the construction of the likelihood function and the computation of different conditional measures. The finite-sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator are assessed by simulation. An application to predicting bond returns illustrates the usefulness of the proposed method.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2015-7

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Construction and Estimation
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Thema
multivariate decomposition
multiplicative components
volatility and direction models
copula
dependence

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Anatolyev, Stanislav
Gospodinov, Nikolay
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(wo)
Atlanta, GA
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Anatolyev, Stanislav
  • Gospodinov, Nikolay
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Entstanden

  • 2015

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