Arbeitspapier
Multivariate return decomposition: Theory and implications
In this paper, we propose a model based on multivariate decomposition of multiplicative - absolute values and signs - components of several returns. In the m-variate case, the marginals for the m absolute values and the binary marginals for the m directions are linked through a 2m-dimensional copula. The approach is detailed in the case of a bivariate decomposition. We outline the construction of the likelihood function and the computation of different conditional measures. The finite-sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator are assessed by simulation. An application to predicting bond returns illustrates the usefulness of the proposed method.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Working Paper ; No. 2015-7
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Construction and Estimation
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- Thema
-
multivariate decomposition
multiplicative components
volatility and direction models
copula
dependence
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Anatolyev, Stanislav
Gospodinov, Nikolay
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
- (wo)
-
Atlanta, GA
- (wann)
-
2015
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Anatolyev, Stanislav
- Gospodinov, Nikolay
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Entstanden
- 2015