Arbeitspapier

Limited liability, strategic default and bargaining power

In this paper we examine the effects of limited liability on mortgage dynamics. While the literature has focused on default rates, renegotiation, or loan rates individually, we study them together as equilibrium outcomes of the strategic interaction between lenders and borrowers. We present a simple model of default and renegotiation where the degree of limited liability plays a key role in agents' strategies. We then use Fannie Mae loan performance data to test the predictions of the model. We focus on Metropolitan Statistical Areas that are crossed by a State border in order to exploit the discontinuity in regulation around the borders of States. As predicted by the model, we find that limited liability results in higher default rates and renegotiation rates. Regarding loan pricing, while the model predicts higher interest rates for limited liability loans, we find no such evidence in the Fannie Mae data. We further investigate this by using loan application data, which contains the interest rates on loans sold to private vs public investors. We find that private investors do price in the difference in ex-ante predictable default risk for limited liability loans.

ISBN
978-92-899-4519-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2519

Classification
Wirtschaft
Household Behavior: General
Money and Interest Rates: General
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Household Analysis: General
Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General
Subject
lender recourse
mortgage contracts
debt repudiation
renegotiation
discontinuity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mozzanica, Mirco Balatti
López-Quiles, Carolina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.2866/502561
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mozzanica, Mirco Balatti
  • López-Quiles, Carolina
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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