Arbeitspapier

Employment Protection, Technology Choice, and Worker Allocation

Using a country-industry panel dataset (EUKLEMS) we uncover a robust empirical regularity, namely that high-risk innovative sectors are relatively smaller in countries with strict employment protection legislation (EPL). To understand the mechanism, we develop a two-sector matching model where firms endogenously choose between a safe technology with known productivity and a risky technology with productivity subject to sizeable shocks. Strict EPL makes the risky technology relatively less attractive because it is more costly to shed workers upon receiving a low productivity draw. We calibrate the model using a variety of aggregate, industry and micro-level data sources. We then simulate the model to reflect both the observed differences across countries in EPL and the observed increase since the mid-1990s in the variance of firm performance associated with the adoption of information and communication technology. The simulations produce a differential response to the arrival of risky technology between low- and high-EPL countries that coincides with the findings in the data. The described mechanism can explain a considerable portion of the slowdown in productivity in the EU relative to the US since 1995.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 10-042/3

Classification
Wirtschaft
Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
Technological Change: Government Policy
Subject
employment protection legislation
exit costs
Information and Communications Technology
heterogeneous productivity
sectoral allocation
Arbeitnehmerschutz
Technologiewahl
Hochtechnologie
Risiko
Mehr-Sektoren-Modell
Produktivität
Informationstechnik
Beschäftigungsstruktur
Allokation
Vergleich
EU-Staaten
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bartelsman, Eric J.
Gautier, Pieter A.
de Wind, Joris
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bartelsman, Eric J.
  • Gautier, Pieter A.
  • de Wind, Joris
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2010

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