Arbeitspapier

Fertility transitions in developing countries: Convergence, timing, and causes

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This paper studies the dynamics of fertility in 180 countries in the period 1950-2015 and investigates the determinants of the onset of fertility transitions. We find evidence of convergence in three groups of countries, and distinguish the transitioning countries from those not transitioning. The estimation of the year of onset of the fertility transition is followed by an econometric analysis of the causes of this event. Instrumental-variable estimates show that increasing female education and reduced infant mortality are important determinants of fertility decline, while per-capita GDP has probably worked in the opposite direction. These results are confirmed by the application of Lewbel's (2012) methods where identification is based on heteroskedasticity.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 029.2019

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Health and Economic Development
Education and Economic Development
Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
Thema
Fertility
Demographic Trends
Female Education

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Papagni, Erasmo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
(wo)
Milano
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Papagni, Erasmo
  • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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