Debt and fiscal responsibility in a federal structure: The case of Pakistan

Artikel

A recent amendment in Pakistan's federal constitution allows provinces to borrow domestically and abroad. There is a concern that it may generate unsustainable debt burden, considering the country's delinquent monetary policy and a historical deficit bias. The objective of this paper is to assess sustainability of public debt. First, we use Cecchetti, et al. (2010) methodology to regress public debt on indicators of fiscal stance i.e. primary deficit and structural deficit at federal level for the period 1976-2011. We conclude that fiscal stance remained opportunistically expansionary. Next, we look at debt sustainability and its implications for macroeconomic management at provincial level by separating the effects of growth and inflation on provincial public debt, interest payments, and primary balance by using the framework of Liu, et al. (2009). Our findings suggest declining debt sustainability at provincial level, which calls for a strong regulatory framework and coordination between federal and provincial debt strategies.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Journal: Romanian Journal of Fiscal Policy (RJFP) ; ISSN: 2069-0983 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 27-47 ; Bucharest: Editura ASE

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Monetary Policy ; Central Banks and Their Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy ; National Budget; Budget Systems ; National Deficit; Surplus ; National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
• Thema: Subnational finance ; Fiscal responsibility ; Monetary policy ; Fiscal federalism ; Pakistan

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Tahir, Nadia ; Tahir, Pervez
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Editura ASE
• (wo): Bucharest
• (wann): 2012

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/107944
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ