Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model

Abstract: This paper uses a structurally estimated macroeconometric model, denoted the MC model, to evaluate inflation targeting in the United States. Various interest rate rules are tried with differing weights on inflation and output, and various optimal control problems are solved using differing weights on inflation and output targets. Price-level targeting is also considered. The results show that 1) there are output costs to inflation targeting, especially for price shocks, 2) price-level targeting is dominated by inflation targeting, 3) the estimated interest rate rule of the Fed (in Table 4) is consistent with the Fed placing equal weights on inflation and unemployment in a loss function, 4) the estimated interest rate rule does a fairly good job at lowering variability, and 5) considerable economic variability is left after the Fed has done its best. Overall, the results suggest that the Fed should continue to behave as it has in the past.

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model ; volume:1 ; number:1 ; year:2007 ; extent:52
Economics / Journal articles. Journal articles ; 1, Heft 1 (2007) (gesamt 52)

Urheber

DOI
10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2007-8
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2412121806559.883671783412
Rechteinformation
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
15.08.2025, 07:39 MESZ

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