Arbeitspapier

Economic performance and government size

We construct a growth model with an explicit government role, where more government resources reduce the optimal level of private consumption and of output per worker. In the empirical analysis, for a panel of 108 countries from 1970-2008, we use different proxies for government size and institutional quality. Our results, consistent with the presented growth model, show a negative effect of the size of government on growth. Similarly, institutional quality has a positive impact on real growth, and government consumption is consistently detrimental to growth. Moreover, the negative effect of government size on growth is stronger the lower institutional quality, and the positive effect of institutional quality on growth increases with smaller governments. The negative effect on growth of the government size variables is more mitigated for Scandinavian legal origins, and stronger at lower levels of civil liberties and political rights. Finally, for the EU, better overall fiscal and expenditure rules improve growth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1399

Classification
Wirtschaft
Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Subject
common correlated effects
fiscal rules
Growth
institutions
pooled mean group

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Afonso, António
Jalles, João Tovar
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Afonso, António
  • Jalles, João Tovar
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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