Artikel
Dynamic exepectation theory: Insights for market participants
This paper develops a new methodology in order to study the role of dynamic expectations. Neither reference-point theories nor feedback models are sufficient to describe human expectations in a dynamic market environment. We use an interdisciplinary approach and demonstrate that expectations of non-learning agents are time-invariant and isotropic. On the contrary, learning enhances expectations. We uncover the "yardstick of expectations" in order to assess the impact of market developments on expectations. For the first time in the literature, we reveal new insights about the motion of dynamic expectations. Finally, the model is suitable for an AI approach and has major implications on the behaviour of market participants.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 12 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 1-14 ; Basel: MDPI
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Expectations; Speculations
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Related Disciplines
- Thema
-
expectation theory
information theory
risk management
financial dynamics
neuroeconomics
econopyhsics
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Herzog, Bodo
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
MDPI
- (wo)
-
Basel
- (wann)
-
2019
- DOI
-
doi:10.3390/jrfm12020077
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Artikel
Beteiligte
- Herzog, Bodo
- MDPI
Entstanden
- 2019
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