Artikel

Estimating the effect of AfCFTA on intra-African trade using augmented GE-PPML

This paper draws on a general equilibrium poisson pseudo maximum likelihood model augmented by a dynamic capital accumulation to estimate the effects of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) on intra-African trade flows. The empirical results show that the AfCFTA could raise intra-African trade by 24% in the short term and slightly more in the long run. However, the potential trade and welfare gains associated with the continental trade integration reform are expected to vary across countries, with the largest gains accruing to countries that exhibit relatively low intra-regional trade performance and level of integration pre-AfCFTA.

Language: Englisch

Bibliographic citation: Journal: Journal of African Trade ; ISSN: 2214-8523 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 62-76 ; Paris: Atlantis Press

Classification: Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade and Labor Market Interactions
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation

Subject: AfCFTA
GEPPML
International trade agreements
CGE
MRT
RTA

Event: Geistige Schöpfung

(who): Fofack, Hippolyte
Dzene, Richman
Mohsen Hussein, Omar A.

Event: Veröffentlichung

(who): Atlantis Press

(where): Paris

(when): 2021

DOI: doi:10.2991/jat.k.211122.001

Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/267550

Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

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Artikel

Associated

Fofack, Hippolyte
Dzene, Richman
Mohsen Hussein, Omar A.
Atlantis Press

Time of origin

2021

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Estimating the effect of AfCFTA on intra-African trade using augmented GE-PPML

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Other Objects (12)

Estimating the Effect of AfCFTA on Intra-African Trade using Augmented GE-PPML

Estimating carbon emissions from African wildfires

Boosting the intra-African digital trade in the AfCFTA context: does regulatory framework matter?

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