Arbeitspapier

Agro-industry, exports, and income distribution: A multiplier decomposition analysis for Myanmar

This paper considers the impacts of agro-industry development and international trade on income distribution in Myanmar, focusing on low-income rural households. We use a social accounting matrix multiplier (SAM) decomposition model featuring detailed economic linkages. After describing the Myanmar economy through the lens of a SAM for 2017, we focus on agriculture development. Our results suggest that low-income rural households benefit considerably from exogenous increases in crop and agro-processing activities. A full decomposition of the multipliers indicates that low-income rural farming households link strongly to agro-processing, mainly through spillover and feedback effects. However, agro-processing is at a low level of development in Myanmar. We then consider international trade, which reveals high rates of import leakages and that broad export improvement would benefit low-income rural farm households more than other households. This suggests that investment in agro-processing value chain development would be beneficial overall and particularly for low-income rural households.

Language
Englisch
ISBN
978-92-9256-872-6

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2020/115

Classification
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Social Accounting Matrix
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Subject
social accounting matrix
decomposition
Myanmar

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Seventer, Dirk
Tarp, Finn
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2020/872-6
Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:25 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Seventer, Dirk
  • Tarp, Finn
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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