Arbeitspapier

Amortization requirements and household indebtedness: An application to Swedish-style mortgages

Since the mid-1990s, many OECD countries have experienced a substantial increase in household indebtedness. Sweden, in particular, has seen indebtedness rise from 90% of disposable income in 1995 to 172% in 2014. The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (FSA) has identified mortgage amortization requirements as a potential instrument for reducing indebtedness; and has drafted guidelines that will intensify the rate and duration of amortization. In this paper, I characterize Swedish-style mortgage contracts, which differ substantially from U.S.-style contracts. I then evaluate the policy changes in an incomplete markets model with three types of debt and a novel mortgage contract specification that is calibrated to match Swedish micro and macro data. I find that intensifying the rate and duration of amortization is largely ineffective at reducing indebtedness in a realistically-calibrated model. In the absence of implausibly large refinancing costs or tight restrictions on the maximum debt-service-to-income ratio, the policy impact is small in aggregate, over the lifecycle, and across employment statuses. These results may be relevant for other OECD countries, such as Norway and Canada, that have also not seen a reduction in house prices or indebtedness since the 2007 financial crisis.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 298

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Subject
Mortgages
Amortization
Heterogeneous Agents
Incomplete Markets
Financial Regulation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hull, Isaiah
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hull, Isaiah
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2015

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