Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel
Epistemic Uncertainties in Climate Predictions: A Challenge for Practical Decision Making
Most scientists agree that, at least for the time being, unquantified uncertainties are inevitably connected to predictions of climate models. Uncertainties, however, do not justify political inaction. This paper addresses the question of how epistemic uncertainties are of relevance for practical decision making. It is shown how common decision approaches based on the precautionary principle fail to adequately deal with uncertainties as they arise in climate modeling. I argue that with regards to climate change, unquantified uncertainties can neither be ignored in decision making nor be reduced to quantified ones by assigning subjective probabilities. This distinguishes the ethical problems associated with climate change from other problems regarding energy supply and demand like, for example, those associated with nuclear power.
- Weitere Titel
-
Unsicherheiten in der Klimavorhersage als Herausforderung für die Entscheidungstheorie
- ISSN
-
2190-6335
- Umfang
-
Seite(n): 94-99
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Anmerkungen
-
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)
- Erschienen in
-
Intergenerational Justice Review(3)
- Thema
-
Ökologie
Ökologie und Umwelt
Klimaschutz
Verantwortungsethik
Klimawandel
Prognose
Modell
Umweltfaktoren
Gerechtigkeit
Umweltpolitik
Generationenverhältnis
Entscheidungsfindung
Entscheidungstheorie
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Hillerbrand, Rafaela
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wo)
-
Deutschland
- (wann)
-
2009
- DOI
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-61993-8
- Rechteinformation
-
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
21.06.2024, 16:26 MESZ
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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Zeitschriftenartikel
Beteiligte
- Hillerbrand, Rafaela
Entstanden
- 2009
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