Arbeitspapier

Stochastic stability in finite extensive-form games of perfect information

We consider a basic stochastic evolutionary model with rare mutation and a best-reply (or better-reply) selection mechanism. Following Young's papers, we call a state stochastically stable if its long-term relative frequency of occurrence is bounded away from zero as the mutation rate decreases to zero. We prove that, for all finite extensive-form games of perfect information, the best-reply dynamic converges to a Nash equilibrium almost surely. Moreover, only Nash equilibria can be stochastically stable. We present a 'centipede-trust game', where we prove that both the backward induction equilibrium component and the Pareto-dominant equilibrium component are stochastically stable, even when the populations increase to infinity. For finite extensive-form games of perfect information, we give a sufficient condition for stochastic stability of the set of non-backward-induction equilibria, and show how much extra payoff is needed to turn an equilibrium stochastically stable.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance ; No. 743

Classification
Wirtschaft
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games; Repeated Games
Subject
evolutionary game theory
Markovs chains
equilibrium selection
stochastic stability
games in extensive form
games of perfect information
backward induction equilibrium
Nash equilibrium components
best-reply dynamics

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Xu, Zibo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Stockholm School of Economics, The Economic Research Institute (EFI)
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Xu, Zibo
  • Stockholm School of Economics, The Economic Research Institute (EFI)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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