Arbeitspapier

Estimating a time-varying distribution-led regime

This paper estimates the distribution-led regime of the US economy for the period 1947-2019. We use a time varying parameter model, which allows for changes in the regime over time. To the best of our knowledge this is the first paper that has attempted to do this. This innovation is important, because there is no reason to expect that the regime of the US economy (or any economy for that matter) remains constant over time. On the contrary, there are significant reasons that point to changes in the regime. We find that the US economy became more profitled in the first postwar decades until the 1970s and has become less profit-led since; it is slightly wage-led over the last fifteen years.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 1001

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Bayesian Analysis: General
Thema
Wage-led
Profit-led
Distribution
Growth
Time-Varying Parameters (VAR)

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul
Nikiforos, Michalis
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(wo)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(wann)
2022

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul
  • Nikiforos, Michalis
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Entstanden

  • 2022

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