Arbeitspapier

Impacto fiscal da demografia na previdência social

This study sought to quantify the impact of demographics on the expense of the public pensions as a share (%) of the Gross Domestic Product GDP, by 2060 and 2100, based upon a simplified forecasting model. The results show a strong expansion in expenditures due to the fast and intense process of population ageing, an increase which can be alleviated by raising the retirement age, increasing the level of employment and limiting the transmission of the active workers productivity gains to retirees and pensioners and other adjustment possibilities. In any case, the government should conduct reforms in order to correct distortions and minimize risks for the financial and actuarial sustainability of the Brazilian social insurance schemes.

Sprache
Portugiesisch

Erschienen in
Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2291

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Social Security and Public Pensions
Health, Education, and Welfare: General
Thema
demography
social security
pension expenditures

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Costanzi, Rogério Nagamine
Ansiliero, Graziela
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
(wo)
Brasília
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Costanzi, Rogério Nagamine
  • Ansiliero, Graziela
  • Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)

Entstanden

  • 2017

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