Arbeitspapier

The "Armey Curve" in Bulgaria (2000-18): Theoretical Considerations and Empirical Results

In this paper we provide a theoretical basis for the so-called "Armey curve," the inverted U-shape relationship between the level of government purchases and GDP growth, named after Armey (1995). We use an otherwise standard Keynesian model, augmented with a quadratic relationship between investment and lagged government expenditure, which was documented empirically. This modelling approach is a useful shortcut that aims to capture the common link shared by both variables, namely their dependence on the real interest rate, as suggested also by the extended static IS-LM model. This resulting dynamic relationship is a newly-documented stylized fact, at least in Bulgarian data for the period 2000-2018, and the source in the extended Keynesian model that generates an Armey curve for Bulgaria.

Sprache
Englisch

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Thema
Armey curve
GDP growth
government purchases
Bulgaria

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Vasilev, Aleksandar
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
(wo)
Kiel, Hamburg
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Vasilev, Aleksandar
  • ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Entstanden

  • 2019

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