Arbeitspapier

A közszférából történő munkaerő-kiáramlás elemzése Magyarországon

Based on the microbased panel datasets of the Labour Force Survey between 1998 and 2010 and the administrative Pension Fund data between 2000 and 2006 we analyse the number, composition and subsequent labour market behaviour of former public sector employees in Hungary. We show that the greater stability of the public sector stems from the fact that the transition probabilities from it to unemployment and to other economic branches / occupations are both about half of the corresponding probabilities from the public sector. Meanwhile, the exit probabilities to inactivity do not differ substantially between the two sectors. By analysing the reemployment probabilities of the laid-off workers with Jenkins' discrete time hazard model we find that those who lost their jobs in the public sector find a new job with a 5-25 percent smaller intensity - i.e. by 5-25 percent more slowly - than their private sector counterparts. However, this difference disappears among the higher educated. Finally, after controlling for education, those who leave the public sector for the private sector do not become overeducated in their new job with a significantly higher probability than similar workers switching jobs within the private sector.

ISBN
978-615-5243-54-7
Language
Ungarisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Budapest Working Papers on the Labour Market ; No. BWP - 2013/5

Classification
Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Public Sector Labor Markets
Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
labour market of the public sector
labour market transition probabilities
unemployment duration
Jenkins discrete time hazard model
Öffentlicher Dienst
Arbeitsmobilität
Arbeitslosigkeit
Qualitative Methode
Statistische Bestandsanalyse
Panel
Ungarn

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Elek, Péter
Szabó, Péter András
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies
(where)
Budapest
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Elek, Péter
  • Szabó, Péter András
  • Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies

Time of origin

  • 2013

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