Konferenzbeitrag

Money, Inflation, and Unemployment in the Presence of Informality

This paper studies the impact of informality on the long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment in developing economies. I present a dynamic general equilibrium model with informality in both labor and goods markets and where money and credit coexist. An increase in inflation affects unemployment through two channels: the entry channel (size) and the hiring channel (composition). On one hand, higher inflation reduces the surplus of monetary trades thus lowering firms entry and increasing unemployment. On the other hand, it shifts firms hiring decision from high separation informal jobs to low separation formal jobs thus reducing unemployment. The net effect depends on the difference in separation rates and the availability of credit in formal transactions. The model is calibrated to match certain long-run statistics of the Brazilian economy. Numerical results indicate that inflation has a small negative effect on unemployment while producing a significant impact on labor allocation between formal and informal jobs. These results point to the importance of accounting for informality when considering the inflation-unemployment trade-off in the conduct of monetary policy.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2018: Digitale Wirtschaft - Session: Development Economics III ; No. G14-V1

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Informal Economy; Underground Economy
Demand for Money
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Tax Evasion and Avoidance
Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
Thema
informality
Phillips curve
money
labor
search and matching

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ait Lahcen, Mohammed
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
(wo)
Kiel, Hamburg
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

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Objekttyp

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Beteiligte

  • Ait Lahcen, Mohammed
  • ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft

Entstanden

  • 2018

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