Arbeitspapier

The golden rule of public investment: A necessary and sufficient reform of the EU fiscal framework?

It is by now a widely shared insight that fiscal policy needs to be re-strengthened as a macroeconomic policy instrument within European macroeconomic policies: Recent experiences with austerity policies, new research regarding the size of the fiscal multiplier and the fact that monetary policy is obviously overstrained have led to this conclusion. As a consequence, increases in public investment are particularly necessary. Against this background this contribution discusses and proposes the introduction of the traditional public finance golden rule into the EU/Eurozone fiscal framework (Stability and growth pact (SGP), Fiscal Compact (FC)). Such a rule would exempt public (net) investment suitably defined from the relevant deficit targets of both the preventive and the corrective arm of the SGP as well as the FC. That way, fiscal policy would be upgraded and receive larger room for manoeuvre and public investment as a particularly growth enhancing public expenditure category would be strengthened. Different definitions are discussed and a pragmatic definition based on the national accounts with some modifications is proposed. The standard reservations against a golden rule are critically assessed, but mostly discarded. However, the potential limits of the golden rule are examined by way of pragmatic multiplier-based macroeconomic assessments: Would a golden rule have prevented the austerity crisis since 2010? Would other expenditure categories - particularly spending on social policy - have necessarily suffered? Would a golden rule leave sufficient fiscal leeway for expansionary fiscal policy in the current situation? The results are encouraging, yet they show, that the golden rule alone would not be sufficient to stabilise the Euro area economies.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 168

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Fiscal Policy
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures; Other Public Investment and Capital Stock
National Deficit; Surplus
Thema
golden rule
public investment
fiscal policy
austerity
Euro area

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Truger, Achim
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(wo)
Düsseldorf
(wann)
2016

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-20160613781
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Truger, Achim
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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