Arbeitspapier

Mitigating Information Frictions in Trade: Evidence from Export Credit Guarantees

Information frictions make foreign trade risky. Therefore, many countries offer export credit guarantees that insure export transactions against buyers' default. We investigate the causal effects of guarantees on firm performance. To overcome selection bias, we employ a quasi-experimental design and extraordinarily rich Swedish register data on guarantees, firms and trade. We arrive at three major findings. First, guarantees increase firm exports to the foreign market for which they were issued and elsewhere. The effect on exports elsewhere diminishes with the distance from the intended market. Second, guarantees do not generally impact jobs, value added or productivity. Third, guarantees affect firms heterogeneously. Exports increase the most for small and service firms and in the exports to small foreign firms. These firms are expected to be particularly disadvantaged by information frictions in trade. Guarantees also increase value added and jobs but only for inexperienced users and low-scale exports, respectively. Overall, these patterns indicate that guarantees mitigate information frictions in trade. In terms of the detailed mechanisms, the results suggest that guarantees primarily address the default risk in exports and secondarily ease liquidity constraints.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 12/2018

Classification
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Empirical Studies of Trade
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts
Firm Performance: Size, Diversification, and Scope
Subject
Information frictions
Buyers' default
Liquidity constraints
Export credit guarantees
Trade
Firm performance

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Agarwal, Natasha
Lodefalk, Magnus
Tang, Aili
Tano, Sofia
Wang, Zheng
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Örebro University School of Business
(where)
Örebro
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Agarwal, Natasha
  • Lodefalk, Magnus
  • Tang, Aili
  • Tano, Sofia
  • Wang, Zheng
  • Örebro University School of Business

Time of origin

  • 2019

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