Arbeitspapier

The stable long-run CAPM and the cross-section of expected returns

The capital-asset-pricing model (CAPM) is one of the most popular methods of financial market analysis. But, evidence of the poor empirical performance of the CAPM has accumulated in the literature. For example, based on their empirical results regarding the relation between market Beta and average return, Fama and French (1996) conclude that the CAPM is no longer a useful tool for empirical financial market analysis. Most empirical studies of the conventional CAPM take, however, neither the fat-tails of return data nor the price relationship between an asset of interest and the bench market portfolio into account. In the framework of a univariate Beta-model we consider a stable long-run CAPM taking account of the fat-tails of stock returns and the common stochastic trends between stock prices. Using the same data used by Fama and French (1996), the stable long-run CAPM demonstrates that Markowitz rule of the expected returns and variance of returns can (still) -without any use of firm specific variables- explain the variation of the cross-sectional average returns.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2002,05

Classification
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Subject
CAPM
Stable Paretian distribution
Sto chastic common trend
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Beta-Faktor
Effizienzmarktthese
Schätzung
Theorie
Deutschland
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kim, Jeong-Ryeol
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kim, Jeong-Ryeol
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2002

Other Objects (12)