Arbeitspapier

A structural model of coronavirus behaviour: What do four waves of Covid tell us?

This paper extends Meenagh and Minford (2021) to the four waves of infection in the UK by end-2021, using the unique newly available sample-based estimates of infections created by the ONS. These allow us to estimate the e§ects on the Covid hospitalisation and fatality rates of vaccination and population immunity due to past infection: the latter was the most signiÖcant factor driving both trends, while the vaccination rate also had a signiÖcant short run e§ect on the fatality rate. We also updated our policy comparison with Sweden for the most recent data, with similar conclusions.: lower Swedish lockdown intensity relative to personal response in waves 1 and 2 caused much lower economic costs with no discernible e§ect on infections.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2022/9

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Coronavirus
Vaccination
Lockdown
Mortality
Health policy
Impact assessment
United Kingdom
Sweden
Coronavirus
Impfung
Lockdown
Sterblichkeit
Gesundheitspolitik
Wirkungsanalyse
Großbritannien
Schweden

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Meenagh, David
Minford, Patrick
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Meenagh, David
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2022

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