Arbeitspapier

Perhaps the FOMC did what it said it did: An alternative interpretation of the Great Inflation

This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an effective inflation target of roughly 7 percent in the 1970s. Moreover, the evidence suggests that mismeasurement of the degree of economic slack was largely irrelevant for explaining the Great Inflation while favouring a passive-policy description of monetary policy. FOMC transcripts provide a neglected interpretation of the source of passive policyintermediate targeting of monetary aggregates.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2007-19

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Central bank research
Monetary aggregates
Monetary policy implementation
Geldpolitik
Inflation Targeting
Inflation
Asymmetrische Information
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kozicki, Sharon
Tinsley, P. A.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2007

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2007-19
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kozicki, Sharon
  • Tinsley, P. A.
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2007

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