The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty

Abstract ∘ C global mean temperature. Probabilistic climate projections from this ensemble result in a large range of plausible future warming and cooling rates that lead to various SRM deployment timescales. In all pathways consistent with extrapolated current ambition, SRM deployment would exceed 100 years even under the most optimistic assumptions regarding climate response. As soon as the temperature threshold is exceeded, neither mitigation nor NNEs or climate sensitivity alone can guarantee short deployment timescales. Since the evolution of mitigation under SRM, the availability of carbon removal technologies and the effects of climate reversibility will be mostly unknown at its initialisation time, it is impossible to predict how temporary SRM deployment would be. Any deployment of SRM therefore comes with the risk of multi-century legacies of deployment, implying multi-generational commitments of costs, risks and negative side effects of SRM and NNEs combined.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Standort: Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
• Umfang: Online-Ressource
• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty ; volume:14 ; number:2 ; year:2023 ; pages:367-381 ; extent:15 ; Earth System Dynamics ; 14, Heft 2 (2023), 367-381 (gesamt 15)

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Urheber: Baur, Susanne ; Nauels, Alexander ; Nicholls, Zebedee ; Sanderson, Benjamin M. ; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023
• URN: urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023033005151310996237
• Rechteinformation: Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 14.08.2025, 10:57 MESZ