The terrorism-finance nexus contingent on globalisation and governance dynamics in Africa

Arbeitspapier

This study empirically verifies the effect of terrorism on financial development and how globalisation and governance modulate the incidence of terrorism on financial development in Africa. Two terrorism indicators are adopted for this study, namely, the: number of terrorism incidences and number of terrorism deaths. The methodology involves the pooled data technique running from 1996-2018 for 34 African countries. The results from the POLS, Driscoll-Kraay and the Newey-West standard error corrections show that terrorism is detrimental to financial development. From the interactive regressions, three major tendencies are apparent. First, terrorism dynamics consistently have an unconditional negative effect on financial development. Second, the globalization and government dynamics modulate the terrorism dynamics to broadly induce a negative net effect on financial development. Third, policy thresholds at which the modulating variables reverse the net effect on financial development from negative to positive are: (i) 71.61572 trade (% of GDP) and 13.97872 FDI (% of GDP) for the incidence of terror and (ii) 1.16201 trade (% of GDP) for terror deaths. The computed thresholds make economic sense and worthwhile in terms of policy implications because they are within statistical range. The result is robust to alternative measures of terrorism and financial development. Policy implications are discussed.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: AGDI Working Paper ; No. WP/21/016

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions ; Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation ; Economic Impacts of Globalization: Finance ; Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Legal Institutions; Illegal Behavior ; Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
• Thema: terrorism ; financial development ; globalisation ; governance ; Pooled data

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Asongu, Simplice ; Nchofoung, Tii Njivukuh
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI)
• (wo): Yaoundé
• (wann): 2021

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/244191
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ